The current dynamics of global conflict are heavily influenced by climate change, the impacts of which are increasingly being felt. Climate change is a multidimensional problem that not only impacts the environment, but also has social, political and economic consequences. In this context, climate shifts have fueled tensions between countries, affected food security, and triggered mass migration. One important aspect of global conflict triggered by climate change is the decline in natural resources. Many countries, especially those dependent on agriculture, experience reduced crop yields due to extreme weather such as drought and floods. For example, global warming causes certain areas to become less fertile, potentially increasing the risk of social discontent and conflict between communities competing for increasingly limited resources. Additionally, climate change is driving an increase in the number of climate refugees. According to a UN report, it is estimated that more than 200 million people could become climate refugees by 2050. These refugees often immigrate to nearby countries, which can fuel tensions between local populations and migrants, exacerbating xenophobia and social conflict. Countries that are less able to adapt to the impacts of climate change are at high risk of experiencing social disintegration. The issue of energy security is also a factor in the dynamics of conflicts related to climate change. As fossil energy sources become increasingly depleted, countries will try to find alternative sources to meet their energy needs. This can create geopolitical tensions, especially in countries rich in energy resources. Communities struggling to gain access to renewable technologies could find themselves embroiled in conflict with richer countries. Climate change also affects foreign policy. Big powers often expand their influence in weaker countries through climate aid. Although intended to help, this is sometimes seen as a geopolitical strategy that breeds distrust. Countries receiving aid may feel burdened by the conditions attached to it, which could potentially disrupt diplomatic relations. In the future, international cooperation will be key in dealing with climate change as a potential source of conflict. Agreements such as the Paris Agreement show that countries are trying to unite in facing this challenge. However, inconsistent commitments and capability gaps between countries often hinder effective policy implementation. In facing the dynamics of global conflict due to climate change, education and public awareness are very important. The public must be involved in dialogue about climate change and its impacts. By increasing awareness, society can be better prepared to adapt to change and reduce the potential for conflict. Thus, climate change is not only an environmental problem, but also a major challenge for global security. There needs to be a joint effort to create a sustainable solution, preventing larger conflicts from occurring in the future. Serious attention to the social and political impacts of climate change will be key to creating a more stable and sustainable world.
